Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.101312 0.155348 0.219158 0.297620 0.389387 0.491539 0.612199
2026-02-01 0.028396 0.081465 0.161614 0.276246 0.425126 0.603806 0.827427
2026-02-08 0.003887 0.039998 0.116861 0.244237 0.424091 0.651621 0.947102
2026-02-15 NaN 0.020934 0.094472 0.234587 0.445990 0.723752 1.093577
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012170 0.084667 0.239825 0.485322 0.816130 1.263664
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005426 0.072315 0.236953 0.510721 0.888907 1.408361
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001003 0.056174 0.222268 0.515561 0.932283 1.514244
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000541 0.058737 0.244464 0.577493 1.053932 1.721927
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000265 0.061608 0.267243 0.640539 1.177489 1.932665
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000014 0.060046 0.279792 0.687097 1.278261 2.113934
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000010 0.066261 0.310185 0.762908 1.420364 2.350044
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.067784 0.329683 0.821070 1.537966 2.554318
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.061601 0.331661 0.852770 1.621911 2.719394
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.045823 0.306147 0.837305 1.638769 2.796184
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.030096 0.272904 0.804770 1.628582 2.834817
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023299 0.262477 0.810654 1.673143 2.946230
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021365 0.268088 0.845567 1.760567 3.115982
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.017600 0.265025 0.863863 1.823084 3.251782
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011839 0.249400 0.857055 1.847261 3.334657
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.014106 0.273009 0.926551 1.987259 3.577423
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.016535 0.297179 0.997179 2.129112 3.822985
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.016751 0.310472 1.046775 2.239262 4.025111
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.020877 0.342605 1.132975 2.404994 4.304040